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Skenderbeu Korca vs Turbina Cerrik

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Yuri Merlim
(Penalty)
24' Event
Muharem S.
26' Event
Yuri Merlim

AI Match Summary

The Albanian Cup 2023/2024 game between Skenderbeu Korca and Turbina Cerrik finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skenderbeu Korca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Skenderbeu Korca
6%
Draws
4%
Turbina Cerrik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skenderbeu Korca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Skenderbeu Korca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Skenderbeu Korca a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Albanian Cup 2023/2024 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Skenderbeu Korca have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 20%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca Turbina Cerrik
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 27 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2023 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Turbina Cerrik
4:0
Apr 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:4
Dec 11, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Turbina Cerrik
3:0
Apr 25, 2009 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Turbina Cerrik
4:2
Nov 29, 2008 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Muharem S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yuri Merlim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 85 / 100
Turbina Cerrik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca Turbina Cerrik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Skenderbeu Korca scored in 92% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Turbina Cerrik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Skenderbeu Korca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kukesi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastrioti3
Shkumbini Peqin2
Beselidhja Lezha0
AF Elbasani3
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier4
Kucove0
Luzi3
Butrinti Sarande2
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca3
Delvina0
Turbina Cerrik4
Koplik0
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi4
KS Devolli0
Besa Kavaje3
Librazhd2
Laci-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana3
Iliria Kruja0
KF Oriku2
Pogradeci0
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tomori Berat1
Shenkolli0
Lushnja3
Laberia FC0
Erzeni Shijak-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis4
Murlani1
Terbuni Puka2
Vora4
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari2
AF Luftetari0
Burreli2
KF Valbona1
1/16-finals
Kukesi-
TBD-
Kastrioti2
AF Elbasani3
Partizani-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier2
Luzi1
Teuta-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca4
Turbina Cerrik0
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi3
Besa Kavaje2
Laci-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana2
KF Oriku0
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Tomori Berat0
Lushnja3
Erzeni Shijak-
TBD-
Bylis3
Vora2
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Flamurtari2
Burreli0
1/8-finals
Kukesi1
AF Elbasani0
Partizani3
Apolonia Fier1
Teuta2
Skenderbeu Korca0
KF Tirana3
Korabi Peshkopi0
Laci1
Dinamo Tirana0
KF Egnatia2
Lushnja0
Erzeni Shijak2
Bylis1
Vllaznia4
Flamurtari0
Quarter-finals
Kukesi2
Partizani1
Teuta1
KF Tirana2
Laci1
KF Egnatia4
Erzeni Shijak3
Vllaznia7
Semi-finals
Kukesi2
KF Tirana1
KF Egnatia2
Vllaznia1
Final
Kukesi0
KF Egnatia1