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Skjervoy vs Tromso 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skjervoy play Tromso 2 in the Division 3 - Group 5. It looks like a close match. Recently, Skjervoy averaged 1.71 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Tromso 2 averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Skjervoy won 1, Tromso 2 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Skjervoy and 2.00 for Tromso 2. This points to a Tromso 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Skjervoy
26%
Draws
38%
Tromso 2
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Tromso 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Skjervoy picked up more points recently compared to Tromso 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Skjervoy Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skjervoy Tromso 2
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.71 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Skjervoy vs Tromso 2
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Skjervoy vs Tromso 2
2:2
Jun 14, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Tromso 2 vs Skjervoy
5:0
Aug 13, 2023 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Skjervoy
6:0
Jun 4, 2023 Division 3 - Group 6
Skjervoy vs Tromso 2
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skjervoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Skalebo O. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedersen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tromso 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skjervoy 34 / 100
Tromso 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skjervoy Tromso 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tromso 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skjervoy attacking → ← attacking Tromso 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skjervoy scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Tromso 2 let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Skjervoy went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tromso 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 47
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13