Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Diop M.
Assist: Ranger L.
50'
50'
Diop M.
Assist: Karlsbakk M.
56'
56'
Diop M.
Assist: Adedeji J.
AI Match Summary
Lillestrom in this NM Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lillestrom lately — more wins on the board than Skjetten.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Lillestrom arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lillestrom, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Lillestrom have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Skjetten Clean Sheet 18%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Skjetten | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2025 NM Cup
Skjetten vs Lillestrom
0:5
Apr 26, 2017 NM Cup
Skjetten vs Lillestrom
0:2
May 1, 2012 NM Cup
Skjetten vs Lillestrom
0:8
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Skjetten Compare
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Lillestrom Compare
Top Goalscorer Diop M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Karlsbakk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Skjetten 36 / 100
Lillestrom 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Skjetten Lillestrom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lillestrom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Skjetten scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Lillestrom let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Skjetten has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Skjetten VS Lillestrom
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Skjetten
(Home) 14 Sept
Skjetten
3 : 2 Tromso 2
05 Sept
Floya
2 : 2 Skjetten
15 Aug
Ulfstind
4 : 2 Skjetten
10 Aug
Skjetten
2 : 1 Lillestrom 2
01 Aug
Fauske Sprint
4 : 5 Skjetten
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Skjetten
3 : 2 Tromso 2
10 Aug
Skjetten
2 : 1 Lillestrom 2
26 Jul
Skjetten
6 : 0 Bossekop
20 Jun
Skjetten
1 : 1 Alta
31 May
Skjetten
2 : 3 Fauske Sprint
Page 1 of 3
Lillestrom
(Away) 12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0 Valerenga
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2 Lillestrom
02 Sept
Aurskog/Finstadbru
0 : 3 Lillestrom
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2 Lillestrom
02 Sept
Aurskog/Finstadbru
0 : 3 Lillestrom
20 Aug
KF Egnatia
0 : 0 Lillestrom
15 Aug
KFUM Oslo
1 : 1 Lillestrom
31 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0 Lillestrom
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
NHHI 1
Sandviken 3
Volda 1
Sogndal 2
Elverum 2
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ridabu 0
Kongsvinger 12
Melbo 0
Sortland 1
Ulfstind 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Trygg/Lade 0
Strindheim 1
Rindal 1
Rosenborg 11
FK Kvik 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Sverresborg IF 2
Ranheim 4
Vindbjart 0
Jerv 3
Eiger 1
Egersund 7
Gamle Oslo 2
Valerenga 1
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Sarpsborg 08 4
Orn 2
Arendal 1
Teie 0
Sandefjord 5
Nordstrand 3
Ull/Kisa 4
Rollon 0
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 2
Harstad 1
Innstrandens 0
Bodo/Glimt 8
Oppsal 0
Kjelsas 1
Rade 1
Lyn 2
Frigg 1
Lorenskog 3
Lillehammer 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 4
Fana 2
Gneist IL 0
Lysekloster 2
Djerv 1919 2
Sotra 3
Askoy 1
Asane 5
Ullern 2
Follo 5
Kvik Halden 1
Moss 3
Brodd 1
Flekkeroy 3
Hana 0
Viking 6
Fram 4
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Notodden 0
Stabaek 3
Vidar 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Nord 0
Haugesund 11
Bjorkelangen 1
Strommen 6
Brumunddal 1
Raufoss 4
Assiden 1
Mjondalen 4
Konnerud 0
Stromsgodset 5
Verdal 0
Levanger 8
Mosjoen 0
Rana FK 4
Spjelkavik 0
Traeff 2
Elnesvagen 0
Molde 7
Bjornevatn IL 0
Alta 11
Union Carl Berner 0
Skeid 3
Byasen 3
Nardo 5
Melhus 1
Kristiansund 5
Baerum 3
Grorud 4
Brattvag 1
Hodd 2
Skedsmo 0
Eidsvold TF 5
Skjetten 0
Lillestrom 5
Honefoss 0
Pors 1
Vag 2
Start 4
Flint 3
Odds BK 2
Sarpsborg FK 0
Fredrikstad 4
Torvastad IL 2
V. Haugesund 0
Varhaug 0
Bryne 4
Fjora 1
Bjarg 3
Varegg 0
Brann 6
Skjervoy 2
Floya 1
Hamna 0
Tromso 10
Ready 4
Asker 3
Grei 1
KFUM Oslo 5
1/32-finals
Sandviken 0
Sogndal 4
Elverum 2
Kongsvinger 7
Sortland 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
Strindheim 0
Rosenborg 3
Stjordals Blink 1
Ranheim 2
Jerv 0
Egersund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Sarpsborg 08 6
Orn 0
Sandefjord 2
Ull/Kisa 2
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 5
Kjelsas 0
Lyn 3
Lorenskog 0
Ham-Kam 1
OS TF 5
Lysekloster 4
Sotra 0
Asane 2
Follo 2
Moss 3
Flekkeroy 0
Viking 3
Fram 0
Stabaek 4
Vidar 1
Haugesund 2
Strommen 2
Raufoss 1
Mjondalen 2
Stromsgodset 1
Levanger 1
Rana FK 2
Traeff 1
Molde 2
Alta 3
Skeid 0
Nardo 1
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 3
Hodd 1
Eidsvold TF 0
Lillestrom 2
Pors 3
Start 2
Flint 0
Fredrikstad 5
Torvastad IL 1
Bryne 2
Bjarg 0
Brann 2
Skjervoy 0
Tromso 1
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 3
1/16-finals
Sogndal 3
Kongsvinger 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Rosenborg 5
Ranheim 2
Egersund 3
Sarpsborg 08 3
Sandefjord 1
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 1
Asane 4
Moss 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Haugesund 1
Strommen 1
Mjondalen 3
Rana FK 0
Molde 4
Alta 0
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
Pors 1
Fredrikstad 3
Bryne 2
Brann 1
Tromso 0
KFUM Oslo 1
1/8-finals
Kongsvinger 2
Rosenborg 3
Egersund 1
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 3
Ham-Kam 2
Asane 0
Viking 7
Stabaek 4
Mjondalen 3
Molde 3
Kristiansund 4
Lillestrom 2
Fredrikstad 1
Bryne 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Quarter-finals
Rosenborg 2
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Kristiansund 3
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 0
Semi-finals
Sarpsborg 08 1
Viking 0
Kristiansund 0
Lillestrom 2
Final
Sarpsborg 08 1
Lillestrom 3
