Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Diop M.
Assist: Ranger L.
50'
50'
Diop M.
Assist: Karlsbakk M.
56'
56'
Diop M.
Assist: Adedeji J.
AI Match Summary
Lillestrom in this NM Cup 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lillestrom lately — more wins on the board than Skjetten.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Cup games in NM Cup 2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lillestrom have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Skjetten Clean Sheet 12%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Skjetten | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2025 NM Cup
Skjetten vs Lillestrom
0:5
Apr 26, 2017 NM Cup
Skjetten vs Lillestrom
0:2
May 1, 2012 NM Cup
Skjetten vs Lillestrom
0:8
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Skjetten Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Lillestrom Compare
Top Goalscorer Diop M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Karlsbakk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Skjetten 30 / 100
Lillestrom 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Skjetten Lillestrom
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Skjetten scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Lillestrom has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Skjetten stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Skjetten VS Lillestrom
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
NHHI1
Sandviken3
Volda1
Sogndal2
Elverum2
Gjovik-Lyn0
Ridabu0
Kongsvinger12
Melbo0
Sortland1
Ulfstind0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)3
Trygg/Lade0
Strindheim1
Rindal1
Rosenborg11
FK Kvik0
Stjordals Blink1
Sverresborg IF2
Ranheim4
Vindbjart0
Jerv3
Eiger1
Egersund7
Gamle Oslo2
Valerenga1
Sprint-Jeloy0
Sarpsborg 084
Orn2
Arendal1
Teie0
Sandefjord5
Nordstrand3
Ull/Kisa4
Rollon0
Aalesund3
Junkeren2
Harstad1
Innstrandens0
Bodo/Glimt8
Oppsal0
Kjelsas1
Rade1
Lyn2
Frigg1
Lorenskog3
Lillehammer0
Ham-Kam2
OS TF4
Fana2
Gneist IL0
Lysekloster2
Djerv 19192
Sotra3
Askoy1
Asane5
Ullern2
Follo5
Kvik Halden1
Moss3
Brodd1
Flekkeroy3
Hana0
Viking6
Fram4
Eik-Tonsberg1
Notodden0
Stabaek3
Vidar2
Sandnes Ulf0
Nord0
Haugesund11
Bjorkelangen1
Strommen6
Brumunddal1
Raufoss4
Assiden1
Mjondalen4
Konnerud0
Stromsgodset5
Verdal0
Levanger8
Mosjoen0
Rana FK4
Spjelkavik0
Traeff2
Elnesvagen0
Molde7
Bjornevatn IL0
Alta11
Union Carl Berner0
Skeid3
Byasen3
Nardo5
Melhus1
Kristiansund5
Baerum3
Grorud4
Brattvag1
Hodd2
Skedsmo0
Eidsvold TF5
Skjetten0
Lillestrom5
Honefoss0
Pors1
Vag2
Start4
Flint3
Odds BK2
Sarpsborg FK0
Fredrikstad4
Torvastad IL2
V. Haugesund0
Varhaug0
Bryne4
Fjora1
Bjarg3
Varegg0
Brann6
Skjervoy2
Floya1
Hamna0
Tromso10
Ready4
Asker3
Grei1
KFUM Oslo5
1/32-finals
Sandviken0
Sogndal4
Elverum2
Kongsvinger7
Sortland0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)5
Strindheim0
Rosenborg3
Stjordals Blink1
Ranheim2
Jerv0
Egersund1
Gamle Oslo1
Sarpsborg 086
Orn0
Sandefjord2
Ull/Kisa2
Aalesund3
Junkeren1
Bodo/Glimt5
Kjelsas0
Lyn3
Lorenskog0
Ham-Kam1
OS TF5
Lysekloster4
Sotra0
Asane2
Follo2
Moss3
Flekkeroy0
Viking3
Fram0
Stabaek4
Vidar1
Haugesund2
Strommen2
Raufoss1
Mjondalen2
Stromsgodset1
Levanger1
Rana FK2
Traeff1
Molde2
Alta3
Skeid0
Nardo1
Kristiansund4
Grorud3
Hodd1
Eidsvold TF0
Lillestrom2
Pors3
Start2
Flint0
Fredrikstad5
Torvastad IL1
Bryne2
Bjarg0
Brann2
Skjervoy0
Tromso1
Ready0
KFUM Oslo3
1/16-finals
Sogndal3
Kongsvinger4
Tromsdalen (TUIL)0
Rosenborg5
Ranheim2
Egersund3
Sarpsborg 083
Sandefjord1
Aalesund1
Bodo/Glimt0
Lyn0
Ham-Kam2
OS TF1
Asane4
Moss0
Viking1
Stabaek2
Haugesund1
Strommen1
Mjondalen3
Rana FK0
Molde4
Alta0
Kristiansund4
Grorud2
Lillestrom3
Pors1
Fredrikstad3
Bryne2
Brann1
Tromso0
KFUM Oslo1
1/8-finals
Kongsvinger2
Rosenborg3
Egersund1
Sarpsborg 083
Aalesund3
Ham-Kam2
Asane0
Viking7
Stabaek4
Mjondalen3
Molde3
Kristiansund4
Lillestrom2
Fredrikstad1
Bryne0
KFUM Oslo2
Quarter-finals
Rosenborg2
Sarpsborg 083
Aalesund0
Viking1
Stabaek2
Kristiansund3
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo0
Semi-finals
Sarpsborg 081
Viking0
Kristiansund0
Lillestrom2
Final
Sarpsborg 081
Lillestrom3