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Stadium Background

Skofja Loka vs Sencur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Kazic D.
(Penalty)
89' Event
Stojnic U.

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West game between Skofja Loka and Sencur finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Skofja Loka
30%
Draws
39%
Sencur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sencur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sencur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sencur's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Skofja Loka Clean Sheet 11%
Sencur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skofja Loka Sencur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.52 1.79
Goals Conceded 2 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Sencur
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Skofja Loka
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Sencur
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Sencur
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Skofja Loka
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skofja Loka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sencur Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojnic U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skofja Loka 22 / 100
Sencur 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skofja Loka Sencur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sencur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skofja Loka's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sencur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Skofja Loka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skofja Loka VS Sencur
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Skofja Loka

(Home)
03 Oct
Skofja Loka
3 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
27 Sept
Izola
6 : 0
Skofja Loka
20 Sept
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Ziri
12 Sept
Skofja Loka
3 : 2
IB 1975 Ljubljana
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
Page 1 of 6

Sencur

(Away)
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)