Sport Picks
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
Latvia
Virslīga 2014 Skonto stadions, Riga 
Match Events
12'
12'
Berenfelds N.
28'
28'
Knapsis E.
48'
48'
Gutkovskis V.
AI Match Summary
Skonto in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skonto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skonto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Skonto have won more games recently than FK Daugava Riga.
- 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Skonto have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Skonto Clean Sheet 68%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Skonto | FK Daugava Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 25 |
| Wins | 23 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.79 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2015 League Cup
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
0:0
Nov 8, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
4:1
Aug 22, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Skonto
1:2
Jun 25, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
5:1
May 6, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Skonto
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Skonto Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutkovskis V.
3 Goals Assists Leader Berenfelds N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4
FK Daugava Riga Compare
Top Goalscorer Knapsis E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Skonto 41 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Skonto FK Daugava Riga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Skonto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Skonto found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (36 games).
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
FK Daugava Riga lost 5 of their last 5 games.
FK Daugava Riga let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.
Scoring Trends
Skonto VS -
4.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Skonto
(Home) 05 Nov
Skonto
0 : 3 AFA Olaine
29 Oct
Skonto
5 : 1 Preilu BJSS
22 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2 Skonto
16 Oct
SK Babite
4 : 3 Skonto
28 Sept
Skonto
3 : 2 RTU
Page 1 of 8
05 Nov
Skonto
0 : 3 AFA Olaine
29 Oct
Skonto
5 : 1 Preilu BJSS
28 Sept
Skonto
3 : 2 RTU
17 Sept
Skonto
1 : 3 Rezekne
13 Sept
Skonto
0 : 1 Valmiera
Page 1 of 4
FK Daugava Riga
(Away) 04 Apr
Jelgava
: FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1 FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3 Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0 FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 5
04 Apr
Jelgava
: FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1 FK Daugava Riga
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0 FK Daugava Riga
03 Oct
FK Metta
1 : 2 FK Daugava Riga
13 Sept
Ventspils
0 : 0 FK Daugava Riga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventspils | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 75:20 | 83 |
| 2 | Skonto | 36 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 77:34 | 71 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 57:27 | 70 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 72:45 | 66 |
| 5 | FC Daugava Daugavpils | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 53:39 | 65 |
| 6 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 38:32 | 51 |
| 7 | FK Daugava Riga | 36 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 29 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26:69 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Jurmala | 36 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 29:110 | 7 |
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
