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Skoruk Tomakovka vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Mochevinskiy I.
24'
Chernetskyi O.
25'
Tsurkan I.

AI Match Summary

Skoruk Tomakovka in this Persha Liga 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skoruk Tomakovka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Skoruk Tomakovka
35%
Draws
35%
Fenix Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fenix Mariupol have won more games recently than Skoruk Tomakovka.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Skoruk Tomakovka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Skoruk Tomakovka here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Skoruk Tomakovka Clean Sheet 68%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skoruk Tomakovka Fenix Mariupol
Matches Played 22 33
Wins 6 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Skoruk Tomakovka
0:3
Apr 23, 2023 Persha Liga
Skoruk Tomakovka vs Fenix Mariupol
1:0
Nov 27, 2021 Druha Liga
Skoruk Tomakovka vs Fenix Mariupol
2:1
Aug 23, 2021 Druha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Skoruk Tomakovka
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skoruk Tomakovka Compare

Top Goalscorer Plakhtyr D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skoruk Tomakovka 59 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skoruk Tomakovka Fenix Mariupol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skoruk Tomakovka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skoruk Tomakovka has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Skoruk Tomakovka scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Fenix Mariupol let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fenix Mariupol
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Skoruk Tomakovka

(Home)
26 May
Skoruk Tomakovka
0 : 0
Bukovyna
20 May
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 3
Skoruk Tomakovka
14 May
Skoruk Tomakovka
0 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
06 May
Dinaz Vyshgorod
1 : 1
Skoruk Tomakovka
30 Apr
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Skoruk Tomakovka
Page 1 of 5

Fenix Mariupol

(Away)
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 6 6 2 21:11 24
10 Skoruk Tomakovka 14 5 8 1 18:9 23
11 Bukovyna 14 5 6 3 18:14 21
12 Dinaz Vyshgorod 14 5 6 3 16:17 21
13 FC Chernihiv 14 5 4 5 15:16 19
14 SC Poltava 14 4 4 6 16:22 16
15 Fenix Mariupol 14 3 3 8 18:23 12
16 Hirnyk-Sport 14 2 5 7 12:22 11
Relegation - Druha Liga 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2023/2024 (Main)