Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skovbakken vs AB Tarnby

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 3 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hansen T.
42' Event
Sivertsen D.
68' Event
Rittig J.

AI Match Summary

Skovbakken in this 2nd Division - Group 3 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skovbakken.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Skovbakken
15%
Draws
0%
AB Tarnby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skovbakken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skovbakken lately — more wins on the board than AB Tarnby.
  • Win probability leans Skovbakken's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Skovbakken Clean Sheet 17%
AB Tarnby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skovbakken AB Tarnby
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.57 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
AB Tarnby vs Skovbakken
4:1
Apr 2, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
Skovbakken vs AB Tarnby
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skovbakken Compare

Top Goalscorer Sivertsen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rittig J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

AB Tarnby Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skovbakken 84 / 100
AB Tarnby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skovbakken AB Tarnby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skovbakken Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AB Tarnby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: AB Tarnby has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Skovbakken found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS AB Tarnby
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Skovbakken

(Home)
18 Jun
Skovbakken
0 : 1
Dalum IF
11 Jun
AB Tarnby
4 : 1
Skovbakken
04 Jun
Skovbakken
0 : 2
Naesby
29 May
Boldklubben 1893
2 : 2
Skovbakken
22 May
Avarta
2 : 1
Skovbakken
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AB Tarnby

(Away)
01 Mar
Bronshoj
3 : 1
AB Tarnby
07 Aug
AB Tarnby
1 : 3
Helsingor
10 Feb
AB Tarnby
1 : 3
Vanlose
27 Jan
BK Frem
5 : 1
AB Tarnby
06 Sept
AB Tarnby
0 : 2
Nykobing
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