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Skovde vs Trollhattan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Södermalms IP, Skövde
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lunden N.
26' Event
Nygaard A.
33'
Fasth E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Skovde and Trollhattan finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trollhattan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Skovde
15%
Draws
50%
Trollhattan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trollhattan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Skovde haven't matched Trollhattan's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trollhattan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Skovde Clean Sheet 10%
Trollhattan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skovde Trollhattan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Trollhattan
1:3
Apr 24, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Skovde
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Skovde vs Trollhattan
1:5
Sep 12, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Trollhattan
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Skovde
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygaard A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Trollhattan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lunden N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skovde 30 / 100
Trollhattan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skovde Trollhattan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trollhattan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trollhattan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Skovde's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Skovde remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skovde VS Trollhattan
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Skovde

(Home)
03 Oct
Skovde
3 : 2
Utsikten
26 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Olympic
21 Sept
Jonkoping
3 : 2
Skovde
17 Sept
Skovde
1 : 3
Trollhattan
12 Sept
Angelholm
0 : 3
Skovde
Page 1 of 6

Trollhattan

(Away)
06 Oct
Trollhattan
1 : 0
Mjallby
03 Oct
Atvidaberg
1 : 1
Trollhattan
26 Sept
Trollhattan
4 : 2
Tvaaker
20 Sept
Hassleholms IF
0 : 1
Trollhattan
17 Sept
Skovde
1 : 3
Trollhattan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 25 16 6 3 55:28 54
2 Atvidaberg 25 13 7 5 49:35 46
3 Hassleholms IF 25 14 3 8 46:30 45
4 Lunds Bois 25 11 8 6 46:29 41
5 AFC Malmo 25 11 8 6 45:35 41
6 Trollhattan 25 10 8 7 42:37 38
7 Rosengard 25 10 8 7 41:37 38
8 Jonkoping 25 9 6 10 29:26 33
9 Tvaaker 25 9 6 10 33:39 33
10 Skovde 25 8 9 8 31:38 33
11 Eskilsminne 25 9 5 11 40:44 32
12 Olympic 25 9 3 13 41:48 30
13 Kristianstad 25 7 6 12 29:37 27
14 Laholms 25 7 4 14 32:43 25
15 Angelholm 25 4 9 12 31:47 21
16 Utsikten 25 2 6 17 23:60 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)