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Skra Czestochowa vs Goczalkowice Zdroj

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass
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Match Events

5' Event
Sajdak P.
21' Event
Golebiowski R.
34' Event
Mikolajczyk J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Skra Czestochowa and Goczalkowice Zdroj finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skra Czestochowa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Skra Czestochowa
22%
Draws
18%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Skra Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Skra Czestochowa come out ahead of Goczalkowice Zdroj on wins alone.
  • Model gives Skra Czestochowa a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Skra Czestochowa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 20%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skra Czestochowa Goczalkowice Zdroj
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 16 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Skra Czestochowa
1:1
Feb 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Skra Czestochowa vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Skra Czestochowa vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skra Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sajdak P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Golebiowski R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skra Czestochowa 58 / 100
Goczalkowice Zdroj 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skra Czestochowa Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skra Czestochowa's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Goczalkowice Zdroj's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Goczalkowice Zdroj's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Skra Czestochowa VS Goczalkowice Zdroj
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057