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SL Benfica W vs FC Porto W

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women Estádio Nacional do Jamor
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Moller C.
39' Event
Moller C.
59'
Sub
Lima K. In: Ferreira C.
Out: Lima K.

AI Match Summary

The Taça de Portugal Women game between SL Benfica W and FC Porto W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SL Benfica W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SL Benfica W
6%
Draws
4%
FC Porto W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SL Benfica W come out ahead of FC Porto W on wins alone.
  • Model gives SL Benfica W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Taça de Portugal Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 68%
FC Porto W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SL Benfica W FC Porto W
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 21 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
SL Benfica W vs FC Porto W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SL Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moller C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

FC Porto W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SL Benfica W 95 / 100
FC Porto W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SL Benfica W FC Porto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SL Benfica W scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

SL Benfica W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: FC Porto W conceded in 60% of 5 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

SL Benfica W VS FC Porto W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Braga W1
Sporting W0
Feirense W0
Rio Ave W5
Torreense W9
Leiria W1
Damaiense W0
SL Benfica W2
Gil Vicente W1
Vitoria Guimaraes W3
C.F. Benfica W1
Famalicao W2
Maritimo W2
Valadares Gaia W0
FC Porto W3
Ponte de Vagos W0
Quarter-finals
Braga W2
Rio Ave W1
Torreense W2
SL Benfica W3
Vitoria Guimaraes W3
Famalicao W0
Maritimo W1
FC Porto W2
Semi-finals
Braga W1
SL Benfica W5
Vitoria Guimaraes W2
FC Porto W3
Final
SL Benfica W2
FC Porto W0