Sport Picks

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SL Benfica W vs Ouriense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Alidou d'Anjou M.
13' Event
Costa C.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Almendariz P.
Assist: Falcon A.

AI Match Summary

SL Benfica W in this Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SL Benfica W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
SL Benfica W
15%
Draws
5%
Ouriense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SL Benfica W lately — more wins on the board than Ouriense W.
  • SL Benfica W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SL Benfica W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 20%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SL Benfica W Ouriense W
Matches Played 46 30
Wins 38 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 3.02 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.7 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Ouriense W
6:1
Nov 5, 2023 Taça da Liga Women
Ouriense W vs SL Benfica W
0:5
Oct 7, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs SL Benfica W
0:3
Oct 4, 2023 Taça da Liga Women
SL Benfica W vs Ouriense W
3:1
Apr 23, 2023 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Ouriense W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SL Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alidou d'Anjou M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Almendariz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Ouriense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mambolambo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SL Benfica W 85 / 100
Ouriense W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SL Benfica W Ouriense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SL Benfica W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SL Benfica W scored in 93% of their last 46 outings.

Ouriense W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SL Benfica W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SL Benfica W VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SL Benfica W

(Home)
22 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
06 Sept
SL Benfica W
5 : 1
FC Porto W
17 May
SL Benfica W
2 : 0
FC Porto W
Page 1 of 10

Ouriense W

(Away)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 18 2 2 66:12 56
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 68:10 54
3 Racing Power W 22 13 4 5 34:13 43
4 Damaiense W 22 11 4 7 31:33 37
5 Braga W 22 11 3 8 47:30 36
6 Valadares Gaia W 22 11 3 8 24:19 36
7 Maritimo W 22 10 1 11 33:41 31
8 Torreense W 22 8 6 8 33:39 30
9 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 2 15 18:51 17
10 Famalicao W 22 5 1 16 18:41 16
11 Vilaverdense W 22 3 3 16 15:52 12
12 Ouriense W 22 2 4 16 15:61 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)