Sport Picks
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
Portugal
Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Caixa Futebol Campus, Seixal 
Match Events
13'
13'
Sousa Alves L. C.
21'
21'
Silva Di.
Assist: Sousa Alves L. C.
30'
30'
Correia M.
Assist: Teles A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 game between SL Benfica W and Valadares Gaia W finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SL Benfica W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and SL Benfica W come out ahead of Valadares Gaia W on wins alone.
- SL Benfica W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 68%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SL Benfica W | Valadares Gaia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 31 |
| Wins | 28 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs SL Benfica W
1:4
Apr 27, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Valadares Gaia W vs SL Benfica W
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
SL Benfica W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SL Benfica W Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva Di.
1 Goals Assists Leader Encinas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44
Valadares Gaia W Compare
Top Goalscorer Correia M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Santos D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SL Benfica W 95 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SL Benfica W Valadares Gaia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SLB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SL Benfica W scored in 90% of their last 40 games.
Solid form: SL Benfica W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Valadares Gaia W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
SL Benfica W VS Valadares Gaia W
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SL Benfica W
(Home) 17 May
SL Benfica W
2 : 0 FC Porto W
10 May
Rio Ave W
0 : 1 SL Benfica W
01 May
SL Benfica W
3 : 1 Sporting W
25 Apr
Braga W
1 : 3 SL Benfica W
05 Apr
SL Benfica W
2 : 0 Torreense W
Page 1 of 8
17 May
SL Benfica W
2 : 0 FC Porto W
01 May
SL Benfica W
3 : 1 Sporting W
05 Apr
SL Benfica W
2 : 0 Torreense W
18 Mar
SL Benfica W
4 : 1 Braga W
14 Mar
SL Benfica W
2 : 2 Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 4
Valadares Gaia W
(Away) 10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
02 May
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 1 Rio Ave W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3 Damaiense W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0 Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0 Valadares Gaia W
14 Mar
SL Benfica W
2 : 2 Valadares Gaia W
08 Feb
Braga W
0 : 0 Valadares Gaia W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SL Benfica W | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 58:11 | 48 |
| 2 | Sporting W | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 35:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Torreense W | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 4 | Valadares Gaia W | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | 26 |
| 5 | Braga W | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 26:21 | 24 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes W | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 16:23 | 21 |
| 7 | Racing Power W | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 8 | Rio Ave W | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:18 | 17 |
| 9 | Maritimo W | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19:40 | 14 |
| 10 | Damaiense W | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17:51 | 11 |
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
