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Slagelse vs Roskilde KFUM

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2021/2022 Slagelse Stadion, Slagelse
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rygaard B.
37' Event
Ahlgren M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Slagelse in this 3rd Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slagelse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Slagelse
20%
Draws
80%
Roskilde KFUM
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roskilde KFUM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Roskilde KFUM haven't matched Slagelse's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Slagelse here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Slagelse Clean Sheet 18%
Roskilde KFUM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slagelse Roskilde KFUM
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 2
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.1 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2022 3rd Division
Roskilde KFUM vs Slagelse
2:3
May 13, 2022 3rd Division
Slagelse vs Roskilde KFUM
2:0
Mar 26, 2022 3rd Division
Slagelse vs Roskilde KFUM
1:0
Sep 12, 2021 3rd Division
Roskilde KFUM vs Slagelse
2:0
May 15, 2021 2nd Division - Group 2
Roskilde KFUM vs Slagelse
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slagelse Compare

Top Goalscorer Rygaard B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Roskilde KFUM Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slagelse 36 / 100
Roskilde KFUM 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slagelse Roskilde KFUM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roskilde KFUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Roskilde KFUM conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Slagelse found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Roskilde KFUM has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Slagelse VS Roskilde KFUM
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slagelse

(Home)
05 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 4
Sundby
28 Jan
Fremad Amager
3 : 0
Slagelse
02 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 5
Sonderjyske
23 Jul
Slagelse
0 : 3
Ishoj IF
11 Jun
Vanlose
1 : 0
Slagelse
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Roskilde KFUM

(Away)
29 Jul
Roskilde KFUM
0 : 5
Roskilde
08 Aug
Roskilde KFUM
1 : 4
Bronshoj
28 Jul
Roskilde KFUM
0 : 0
Roskilde
18 Feb
Ishoj IF
1 : 1
Roskilde KFUM
11 Feb
Vanlose
2 : 0
Roskilde KFUM
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