Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Nestorovski I.
23' Event
Stojakovic A.
28' Event
Cubelic I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Slaven Belupo and Lok. Zagreb finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Slaven Belupo
20%
Draws
29%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Slaven Belupo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Slaven Belupo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 68%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slaven Belupo Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.35 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb
2:1
Apr 21, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
2:1
Mar 10, 2026 Croatian Cup
Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb
2:1
Feb 13, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Slaven Belupo vs Lok. Zagreb
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slaven Belupo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nestorovski I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cubelic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojakovic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Susak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slaven Belupo 86 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slaven Belupo Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slaven Belupo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Slaven Belupo scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Lok. Zagreb has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Slaven Belupo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slaven Belupo VS Lok. Zagreb
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slaven Belupo

(Home)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
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Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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