Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas, Koprivnica
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slaven Belupo host Rijeka in the HNL. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Rijeka have shipped 0.91 goals a game lately, while Slaven Belupo have conceded 1.9 and scored 1.35. Head-to-head, Slaven Belupo have won 0 to Rijeka's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.38) back Rijeka to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Slaven Belupo
20%
Draws
47%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rijeka come out ahead of Slaven Belupo on wins alone.
  • Rijeka are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 17%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slaven Belupo Rijeka
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.35 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Croatian Cup
Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slaven Belupo 20 / 100
Rijeka 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slaven Belupo Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slaven Belupo found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Slaven Belupo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Rijeka conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Slaven Belupo VS Rijeka
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slaven Belupo

(Home)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
Page 1 of 7

Rijeka

(Away)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)