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Slavia Mozyr vs BATE

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Junost
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Neskoromnyi N.
46'
Sub
Ageev A. In: Melnikov N.
Out: Ageev A.
46'
Sub
Antilevskiy A. In: Solovey A.
Out: Antilevskiy A.

AI Match Summary

Slavia Mozyr play BATE in the Belarusian Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Slavia Mozyr averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. BATE averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Slavia Mozyr won 0, BATE won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Slavia Mozyr and 1.56 for BATE. This points to a Slavia Mozyr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Slavia Mozyr
40%
Draws
29%
BATE
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Slavia Mozyr has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to BATE.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 68%
BATE Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Mozyr BATE
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
1:1
Apr 29, 2026 Belarusian Cup
BATE vs Slavia Mozyr
2:0
Apr 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Slavia Mozyr
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slavia Mozyr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Neskoromnyi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Mozyr 42 / 100
BATE 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Mozyr BATE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slavia Mozyr scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

BATE let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Slavia Mozyr went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

BATE lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Mozyr VS BATE
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk0
Volna Pinsk3
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha2
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Polotsk0
FK Baranovici5
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Svisloch1
FC Slonim4
TBD-
Neman-
Gazovik Vitebsk0
Ostrovets6
TBD-
Slutsk-
FK Miory0
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Mozyrskiy NPZ0
Lokomotiv Gomel3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Dnepr Mogilev-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Krechet0
Osipovichi4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Technolog Mogilev0
DMedia6
TBD-
FC Gomel-
FK Inform0
FK Lida6
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Belshina-
TBD-
TBD-
Molodechno-
Nadezhda Baranovici0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
Smorgon-
Neman Mosty0
BumProm Gomel4
TBD-
Zhodino-
Bobovnya1
Krumkachy2
TBD-
Naftan-
Agro Pelishche0
SKA-1938 Minsk2
TBD-
BATE-
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk2
FC Minsk3
Orsha1
Dynamo Brest8
FK Baranovici1
ML Vitebsk2
FC Slonim1
Neman0
Ostrovets0
Slutsk3
Niva Dolbizno0
Isloch Minsk4
Lokomotiv Gomel1
Din. Minsk2
Dnepr Mogilev0
Vitebsk1
Osipovichi1
Slavia Mozyr5
DMedia0
FC Gomel2
FK Lida0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Belshina0
Molodechno3
Uni X Labs0
Smorgon2
BumProm Gomel0
Zhodino2
Krumkachy1
Naftan2
SKA-1938 Minsk0
BATE1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk2
Dynamo Brest3
ML Vitebsk8
FC Slonim1
Slutsk1
Isloch Minsk2
Din. Minsk2
Vitebsk1
Slavia Mozyr1
FC Gomel0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Molodechno0
Smorgon0
Zhodino4
Naftan3
BATE4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest0
ML Vitebsk4
Isloch Minsk1
Din. Minsk2
Slavia Mozyr4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
Zhodino1
BATE2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk0
Din. Minsk3
Slavia Mozyr0
BATE3
Final
Din. Minsk1
BATE2