Sport Picks
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
Belarus
Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Junost, Mozyr 
Match Events
30'
30'
Neskoromnyi N.
46'
46'
Sub
Ageev A. In: Melnikov N.
Out: Ageev A.
46'
46'
Sub
Antilevskiy A. In: Solovey A.
Out: Antilevskiy A.
AI Match Summary
BATE in this Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slavia Mozyr
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Slavia Mozyr have won more games recently than BATE.
- Win probability leans Slavia Mozyr's way, sitting at 70%.
- Slavia Mozyr have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor BATE, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 68%
BATE Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slavia Mozyr | BATE |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
1:1
Apr 29, 2026 Belarusian Cup
BATE vs Slavia Mozyr
2:0
Apr 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Slavia Mozyr
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs BATE
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Slavia Mozyr Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
BATE Compare
Top Goalscorer Neskoromnyi N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Slavia Mozyr 77 / 100
BATE 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Slavia Mozyr BATE
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Slavia Mozyr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Slavia Mozyr's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
BATE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Slavia Mozyr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Slavia Mozyr VS BATE
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Slavia Mozyr
(Home) 11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Vitebsk
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0 FC Gomel
14 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 3 Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Vitebsk
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0 FC Gomel
07 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
26 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 1 Dynamo Brest
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4 ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 3
BATE
(Away) 13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2 Naftan
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0 BATE
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0 BATE
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1 FC Minsk
23 Aug
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0 BATE
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0 BATE
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0 BATE
23 Aug
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0 BATE
09 Aug
FK Baranovici
2 : 2 BATE
30 Jul
Sion
4 : 0 BATE
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk 0
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 2
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Polotsk 0
FK Baranovici 5
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Svisloch 1
FC Slonim 4
TBD -
Neman -
Gazovik Vitebsk 0
Ostrovets 6
TBD -
Slutsk -
FK Miory 0
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Dnepr Mogilev -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Krechet 0
Osipovichi 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Technolog Mogilev 0
DMedia 6
TBD -
FC Gomel -
FK Inform 0
FK Lida 6
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Belshina -
TBD -
TBD -
Molodechno -
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
Smorgon -
Neman Mosty 0
BumProm Gomel 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
Bobovnya 1
Krumkachy 2
TBD -
Naftan -
Agro Pelishche 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 2
TBD -
BATE -
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk 2
FC Minsk 3
Orsha 1
Dynamo Brest 8
FK Baranovici 1
ML Vitebsk 2
FC Slonim 1
Neman 0
Ostrovets 0
Slutsk 3
Niva Dolbizno 0
Isloch Minsk 4
Lokomotiv Gomel 1
Din. Minsk 2
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Vitebsk 1
Osipovichi 1
Slavia Mozyr 5
DMedia 0
FC Gomel 2
FK Lida 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Belshina 0
Molodechno 3
Uni X Labs 0
Smorgon 2
BumProm Gomel 0
Zhodino 2
Krumkachy 1
Naftan 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
BATE 1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk 2
Dynamo Brest 3
ML Vitebsk 8
FC Slonim 1
Slutsk 1
Isloch Minsk 2
Din. Minsk 2
Vitebsk 1
Slavia Mozyr 1
FC Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Molodechno 0
Smorgon 0
Zhodino 4
Naftan 3
BATE 4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest 0
ML Vitebsk 4
Isloch Minsk 1
Din. Minsk 2
Slavia Mozyr 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Zhodino 1
BATE 2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk 0
Din. Minsk 3
Slavia Mozyr 0
BATE 3
Final
Din. Minsk 1
BATE 2
