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Slavia Mozyr vs Krumkachy

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga 2021 Stadion Junost, Mozyr
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sidor I.
63'
Kotlyarov A.
65'
Sub
Barsukov E. In: Alshanik A.
Out: Barsukov E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Slavia Mozyr advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Slavia Mozyr
15%
Draws
51%
Krumkachy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krumkachy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Krumkachy's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Slavia Mozyr have produced (1.16).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Slavia Mozyr, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 10%
Krumkachy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Mozyr Krumkachy
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2021 Vysshaya Liga
Krumkachy vs Slavia Mozyr
0:0
Dec 2, 2021 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Krumkachy
1:0
Jul 27, 2019 Belarusian Cup
Krumkachy vs Slavia Mozyr
1:3
Sep 24, 2017 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Krumkachy
3:1
May 16, 2017 Vysshaya Liga
Krumkachy vs Slavia Mozyr
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slavia Mozyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Narh F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Krumkachy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Mozyr 29 / 100
Krumkachy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Mozyr Krumkachy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Mozyr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slavia Mozyr's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Krumkachy conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Krumkachy has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Mozyr VS Krumkachy
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Slavia Mozyr

(Home)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0
FC Gomel
Page 1 of 7

Krumkachy

(Away)
19 Jul
Krumkachy
0 : 5
Dynamo Brest
28 May
Stanles Pinsk
1 : 4
Krumkachy
12 Jul
Krumkachy
1 : 2
Naftan
22 May
Bobovnya
1 : 2
Krumkachy
14 Jul
Krumkachy
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Slavia Mozyr 1
Krumkachy 0