Sport Picks
Slavia Mozyr vs ML Vitebsk
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Stadion Junost, Mozyr 
Match Events
12'
12'
Kontsevoy A.
Assist: Diabate B.
16'
16'
Melnikov N.
26'
26'
Diabate B.
Assist: Glushkov N.
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga game between Slavia Mozyr and ML Vitebsk finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ML Vitebsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ML Vitebsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- ML Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors ML Vitebsk here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 25%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slavia Mozyr | ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs ML Vitebsk
2:4
Sep 27, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr
2:3
May 12, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs ML Vitebsk
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs ML Vitebsk
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Slavia Mozyr Compare
Top Goalscorer Solovey A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yashin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
ML Vitebsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Kontsevoy A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diabate B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Slavia Mozyr 33 / 100
ML Vitebsk 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Slavia Mozyr ML Vitebsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Slavia Mozyr scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
ML Vitebsk let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: Slavia Mozyr remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Slavia Mozyr VS ML Vitebsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Slavia Mozyr
(Home) 19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1 Naftan
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Vitebsk
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0 FC Gomel
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1 Naftan
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Vitebsk
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0 FC Gomel
07 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
26 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 1 Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 4
ML Vitebsk
(Away) 18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0 Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1 Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
06 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0 ML Vitebsk
30 Jul
Sutjeska
1 : 2 ML Vitebsk
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0 ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38:23 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 37 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24:41 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:54 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
