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Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Junost, Mozyr
Slavia Mozyr Logo

Slavia Mozyr

0 - 1
FT
Naftan Logo

Naftan

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sadovskiy D.
6' Event
Solovey A.
Penalty Missed
36'
Sub
Pranovich I. In: Voskoboynikov A.
Out: Pranovich I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naftan in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naftan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Slavia Mozyr
20%
Draws
40%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Naftan haven't matched Slavia Mozyr's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Slavia Mozyr taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Slavia Mozyr have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 20%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slavia Mozyr Naftan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan
0:1
May 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slavia Mozyr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Drabatovich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slavia Mozyr 85 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slavia Mozyr Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Mozyr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Slavia Mozyr found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Difficult form: Naftan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Slavia Mozyr VS Naftan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Slavia Mozyr

(Home)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0
FC Gomel
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Naftan

(Away)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)