Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Jagodic A.
50'
50'
Subara M.
54'
54'
Subara M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Slavonija Pozega advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slavonija Pozega
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Slavonija Pozega carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Slavonija Pozega's way, sitting at 90%.
- Slavonija Pozega have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Slavonija Pozega, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Slavonija Pozega here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Slavonija Pozega Clean Sheet 20%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slavonija Pozega | Oriolik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 0.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Croatian Cup
Slavonija Pozega vs Oriolik
4:0
Sep 11, 2024 Croatian Cup
Slavonija Pozega vs Oriolik
3:0
Apr 1, 2022 3. HNL East
Slavonija Pozega vs Oriolik
3:1
Sep 18, 2021 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs Slavonija Pozega
1:2
Apr 10, 2021 3. HNL East
Slavonija Pozega vs Oriolik
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Slavonija Pozega Compare
Top Goalscorer Subara M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jagodic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Oriolik Compare
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Slavonija Pozega 85 / 100
Oriolik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Slavonija Pozega Oriolik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Slavonija Pozega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Slavonija Pozega found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Oriolik conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Slavonija Pozega stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Slavonija Pozega VS Oriolik
1 Goals Scored 0.2
1 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Slavonija Pozega
(Home) 25 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3 Slavonija Pozega
19 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 2 Solin
12 Sept
Dragovoljac
1 : 0 Slavonija Pozega
09 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
4 : 0 Oriolik
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1 Jarun
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 2 Solin
09 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
4 : 0 Oriolik
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1 Jarun
26 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0 Moslavina
22 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 4 Bjelovar
Page 1 of 4
Oriolik
(Away) 09 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
4 : 0 Oriolik
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0 Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0 Oriolik
01 Nov
Oriolik
0 : 8 Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1 Oriolik
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
4 : 0 Oriolik
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0 Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0 Oriolik
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1 Oriolik
18 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
6 : 0 Oriolik
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 4
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Kustosija 3
NK Polet 0
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Nehaj Senj 0
Croatia Dakovo 4
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Gaj Mace 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Sloga Nova Gradiska 0
Bjelovar 1
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Banjole 2
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 1
Slavonija Pozega 2
TBD -
Oriolik -
Medjimurec 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
TBD -
Osijek -
Jadran Porec 1
Radnik Krizevci 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Bilogora 1
Zagora 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Bednja Beletinec 2
Orijent 1
TBD -
Belisce -
Neretvanac 2
Bedem Ivankovo 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
Sava Strmec 0
Pitomaca 7
TBD -
Rudes -
Tomislav DA 5
Sloga Borovo 0
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Dugopolje 1
Jarun 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Samobor 10
Ferdinandovac 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
1/16-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 0
Sibenik 2
Kustosija 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Croatia Dakovo 1
HNK Gorica 2
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 2
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Banjole 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 3
Oriolik 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 1
Osijek 3
Jadran Porec 0
Mladost Zdralovi 2
Bilogora 0
Hajduk Split 4
Bednja Beletinec 3
Belisce 0
Neretvanac 1
Rijeka 3
Pitomaca 1
Rudes 2
Tomislav DA 0
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Samobor 2
Lok. Zagreb 4
1/8-finals
Sibenik 1
Slaven Belupo 2
HNK Gorica 2
Varazdin 1
Bjelovar 2
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rijeka 3
Rudes 1
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Quarter-finals
Slaven Belupo 3
HNK Gorica 1
Din. Zagreb 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 1
Rijeka 3
Istra 1961 3
Lok. Zagreb 0
Semi-finals
Slaven Belupo 1
Osijek 0
Rijeka 1
Istra 1961 0
Final
Slaven Belupo 1
Rijeka 2
