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Sleipner vs Nacka FC

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Sachs E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Sleipner and Nacka FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sleipner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sleipner
15%
Draws
27%
Nacka FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sleipner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sleipner come out ahead of Nacka FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sleipner's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sleipner here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sleipner Clean Sheet 16%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sleipner Nacka FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sleipner vs Nacka FC
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Sleipner
1:2
May 1, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Sleipner
0:1
Mar 28, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sleipner vs Nacka FC
1:0
Aug 11, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sleipner vs Nacka FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sleipner Compare

Top Goalscorer Sachs E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Nacka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sleipner 84 / 100
Nacka FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sleipner Nacka FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sleipner Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sleipner scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Nacka FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sleipner remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sleipner VS Nacka FC
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sleipner

(Home)
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
05 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 3
Sleipner
29 Aug
Sleipner
7 : 1
Eker Orebro
22 Aug
Ragsved
0 : 4
Sleipner
13 Aug
Sleipner
2 : 1
Lindo FF
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Nacka FC

(Away)
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
28 Aug
Farsta
4 : 1
Nacka FC
22 Aug
Forward
0 : 1
Nacka FC
16 Aug
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Orebro Syrianska
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 22 13 4 5 48:35 43
2 Farsta 22 13 3 6 47:25 42
3 Forward 22 13 3 6 42:26 42
4 Nykopings 22 12 3 7 37:22 39
5 Haninge 22 12 3 7 54:42 39
6 Smedby 22 10 5 7 39:30 35
7 Ragsved 22 10 5 7 40:34 35
8 Fittja IF 22 10 3 9 35:34 33
9 Karlslund 22 7 6 9 31:35 27
10 Orebro Syrianska 22 8 2 12 23:25 26
11 Syrianska 22 6 5 11 33:49 23
12 Nacka FC 22 6 3 13 23:40 21
13 Lindo FF 22 5 2 15 27:43 17
14 Eker Orebro 22 4 3 15 26:65 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)