Sport Picks

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Sligo Rovers vs Derry City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Fitzgerald W.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sligo Rovers and Derry City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sligo Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Sligo Rovers
30%
Draws
62%
Derry City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Sligo Rovers haven't matched Derry City's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Derry City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 12%
Derry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers Derry City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
2:0
Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
2:1
Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sligo Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzgerald W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Derry City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
Derry City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Derry City conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Sligo Rovers found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Sligo Rovers remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sligo Rovers VS Derry City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sligo Rovers

(Home)
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
21 Aug
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0
Waterford
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Derry City

(Away)
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3
Derry City
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