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Sligo Rovers vs Derry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Showgrounds, Sligo
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sligo Rovers host Derry City in the Premier Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Derry City have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Sligo Rovers have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Derry City slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.88, favoring Derry City. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sligo Rovers
20%
Draws
80%
Derry City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derry City lately — more wins on the board than Sligo Rovers.
  • Win probability leans Derry City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Derry City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers Derry City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
2:0
Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
2:1
Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
Derry City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Sligo Rovers's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sligo Rovers VS Derry City
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sligo Rovers

(Home)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Derry City

(Away)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
3 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)