Sport Picks

Ireland

Premier Division Showgrounds

Sligo Rovers

2 - 0

Dundalk

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Fitzgerald W.

Assist: Kavanagh C.

33'

Sub

Esua J. In: Stewart S.

Out: Esua J.

44'

Teahan R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sligo Rovers in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sligo Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sligo Rovers

39%

Draws

30%

Dundalk

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Dundalk lately — more wins on the board than Sligo Rovers.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Dundalk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sligo Rovers	Dundalk
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	8	12
Draws	5	8
Losses	16	8
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.63	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier Division

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Mar 16, 2026 Premier Division

Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Jul 18, 2025 FAI Cup

Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Sep 21, 2024 Premier Division

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk

Possession: 55% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Jun 13, 2024 Premier Division

Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sligo Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzgerald W.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kavanagh C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Dundalk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 30 / 100

Dundalk 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sligo Rovers Dundalk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sligo Rovers found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Dundalk let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Dundalk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sligo Rovers VS Dundalk

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40:22	50
2	Bohemians	25	12	7	6	40:27	43
3	St. Patricks	24	12	6	6	39:20	42
4	Dundalk	24	9	8	7	38:36	35
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35:35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32:31	29
7	Galway United	23	7	6	10	32:39	27
8	Drogheda	24	6	7	11	29:41	25
9	Waterford	24	4	9	11	33:47	21
10	Sligo Rovers	24	5	5	14	20:40	20