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Sligo Rovers vs Monaghan United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2012
Sligo Rovers Logo

Sligo Rovers

1 - 3
FT
Monaghan United Logo

Monaghan United

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Quigley M.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Griffiths T.
72' Event
Marks J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Monaghan United in this FAI Cup 2012 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sligo Rovers
15%
Draws
85%
Monaghan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monaghan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sligo Rovers have won more games recently than Monaghan United.
  • Model gives Monaghan United a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Sligo Rovers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monaghan United, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 13%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers Monaghan United
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 1
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.06 1
Goals Conceded 1.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Sligo Rovers
0:0
Jun 23, 2012 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Monaghan United
0:0
May 25, 2012 FAI Cup
Sligo Rovers vs Monaghan United
1:3
Apr 9, 2012 League Cup
Sligo Rovers vs Monaghan United
3:1
Mar 23, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Sligo Rovers
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sligo Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Monaghan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marks J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
Monaghan United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers Monaghan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monaghan United conceded in 91% of 11 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sligo Rovers's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Monaghan United's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sligo Rovers VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sligo Rovers

(Home)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Monaghan United

(Away)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Phoenix 4
Lucan Utd 3
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton AFC -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Cherry Orchard 2
Verona 0
TBD -
Longford -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks CY -
Blarney Utd -
TBD -
College Corinthians 1
Malahide United 2
Avondale United 3
Sheriff YC 1
Clonmel Celtic 0
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Ballymun Utd 1
Mayfield Utd 2
Douglas Hall 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
TBD -
Wexford -
Monaghan United -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Crumlin Utd 1
Kilbarrack Utd 0
TBD -
St. Patricks -
1/16-finals
Derry City 4
Finn Harps 0
Phoenix 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 1
Everton AFC 0
Salthill 0
Mervue United 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 0
Athlone 1
Cork City 6
Cherry Orchard 2
Longford 0
Bray 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
St. Patricks CY 0
Blarney Utd 1
Malahide United 4
Avondale United 3
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen 0
Bohemians 5
Drogheda 6
Mayfield Utd 1
Douglas Hall 3
Wexford 4
Monaghan United 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Crumlin Utd 0
St. Patricks 3
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 0
Mervue United 4
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Shelbourne 3
Dundalk 4
Malahide United 0
Avondale United 0
Bohemians 1
Drogheda 1
Wexford 0
Monaghan United -
St. Patricks -
Quarter-finals
Derry City 7
Mervue United 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
Bohemians 0
Drogheda 1
St. Patricks 2
Semi-finals
Derry City 4
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 3
Final
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 2