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Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Showgrounds
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Hoare S.
6' Event
Leavy K.
Assist: Redmond J.
32'
Kavanagh C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Sligo Rovers and St. Patricks finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sligo Rovers
22%
Draws
60%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Patricks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives St. Patricks a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sligo Rovers St. Patricks
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
2:0
May 4, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sligo Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Leavy K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sligo Rovers 18 / 100
St. Patricks 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sligo Rovers St. Patricks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Sligo Rovers's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sligo Rovers has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sligo Rovers VS St. Patricks
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks24126639:2042
4Dundalk2498738:3635
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United23761032:3927
8Drogheda24671129:4125
9Waterford24491133:4721
10Sligo Rovers24551420:4020