Sport Picks

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Sliven vs Zagorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024 Hadzhi Dimitar Stadium, Sliven
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AI Match Summary

Sliven in this Third League - South-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sliven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sliven
28%
Draws
50%
Zagorets
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Zagorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Zagorets average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Sliven's 0.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Zagorets taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sliven Clean Sheet 10%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sliven Zagorets
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 13.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Zagorets
1:0
Oct 27, 2023 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Sliven
6:1
Mar 31, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Zagorets
0:3
Sep 17, 2022 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Sliven
4:0
Mar 25, 2006 B PFG East
Sliven vs Zagorets
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sliven 22 / 100
Zagorets 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sliven Zagorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sliven found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Zagorets has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Zagorets registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sliven VS Zagorets
0 Goals Scored 1.25
13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sliven

(Home)
27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0
Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3
Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2
Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0
Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2
Levski Karlovo
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Zagorets

(Away)
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
29 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
9 : 1
Zagorets
23 May
Zagorets
2 : 4
Nesebar
16 May
Rozova Dolina
2 : 1
Zagorets
13 May
Zagorets
5 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar382981121:3995
2OFC Haskovo38303597:2693
3Spartak Plovdiv382963122:2293
4Gigant Saedinenie38218981:4371
5Zagorets382161179:4269
6Dimitrovgrad381910960:4067
7Botev II381871384:5561
8Atletik Kuklen381841660:7158
9Rozova Dolina381751660:5056
10Rodopa Smolyan381561764:6351
11Asenovets381461859:7348
12Lok. Plovdiv II381451965:5947
13Sozopol3812101657:5346
14Sekirovo Rakovski381172059:7540
15Levski Karlovo381152256:9138
16Yambol 1915389101949:8237
17Karnobat381112646:10634
18Sliven38862442:12730
19Sokol Markovo38832736:9827
20Beroe II38623026:10820
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)