Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Slivnishki Geroy

3 - 3

Botev Ihtiman

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Slivnishki Geroy and Botev Ihtiman finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Slivnishki Geroy

30%

Draws

34%

Botev Ihtiman

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Botev Ihtiman come out ahead of Slivnishki Geroy on wins alone.
Win probability leans Slivnishki Geroy's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 20%

Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Slivnishki Geroy	Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	12
Draws	8	8
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

3:3

Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

May 10, 2025 Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Oct 19, 2024 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 4 - 4

3:0

Mar 9, 2024 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slivnishki Geroy 36 / 100

Botev Ihtiman 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Slivnishki Geroy Botev Ihtiman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Slivnishki Geroy scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Botev Ihtiman let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Slivnishki Geroy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slivnishki Geroy VS Botev Ihtiman

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38