Sport Picks
Slivnishki Geroy vs Botev Ihtiman
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Slivnishki Geroy and Botev Ihtiman finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Ihtiman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Botev Ihtiman come out ahead of Slivnishki Geroy on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 11%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Slivnishki Geroy | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Botev Ihtiman
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Botev Ihtiman
3:3
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:1
May 10, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Botev Ihtiman
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Slivnishki Geroy 30 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Slivnishki Geroy Botev Ihtiman
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Slivnishki Geroy scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Botev Ihtiman let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Slivnishki Geroy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Slivnishki Geroy VS Botev Ihtiman
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Slivnishki Geroy
(Home) 26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
22 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 0 Levski Sofia II
08 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 3 Botev Ihtiman
30 May
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Slavia Sofia 2
Page 1 of 3
Botev Ihtiman
(Away) 26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2 Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4 Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4 Botev Ihtiman
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
08 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 3 Botev Ihtiman
15 Jul
Svoge
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
