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Slivnishki Geroy vs Kostinbrod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Slivnishki Geroy and Kostinbrod finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kostinbrod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Slivnishki Geroy
20%
Draws
60%
Kostinbrod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Slivnishki Geroy haven't matched Kostinbrod's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kostinbrod's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 14%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slivnishki Geroy Kostinbrod
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Kostinbrod
0:3
May 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Kostinbrod
0:2
May 8, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Slivnishki Geroy
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Kostinbrod
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slivnishki Geroy 27 / 100
Kostinbrod 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slivnishki Geroy Kostinbrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slivnishki Geroy's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kostinbrod conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Kostinbrod has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Slivnishki Geroy VS Kostinbrod
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slivnishki Geroy

(Home)
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
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Kostinbrod

(Away)
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
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