Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Slivnishki Geroy

2 - 4

Kyustendil

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Slivnishki Geroy and Kyustendil finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kyustendil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Slivnishki Geroy

Draws

Kyustendil

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kyustendil come out ahead of Slivnishki Geroy on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Slivnishki Geroy taking it.
Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 20%

Kyustendil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Slivnishki Geroy	Kyustendil
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	12
Draws	8	5
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West

Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Kyustendil

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

2:4

May 14, 2025 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Kyustendil

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Oct 24, 2024 Third League - South-West

Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Mar 2, 2024 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Kyustendil

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slivnishki Geroy 85 / 100

Kyustendil 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Slivnishki Geroy Kyustendil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slivnishki Geroy's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kyustendil let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Slivnishki Geroy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Slivnishki Geroy VS Kyustendil

1.63 Goals Scored 0.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38