Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sloga 1940 vs Smederevo

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023 game between Sloga 1940 and Smederevo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smederevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sloga 1940
20%
Draws
40%
Smederevo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smederevo come out ahead of Sloga 1940 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Smederevo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sloga 1940 Clean Sheet 15%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloga 1940 Smederevo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Srpska Liga - West
Sloga 1940 vs Smederevo
1:2
Aug 13, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Smederevo vs Sloga 1940
1:0
May 29, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Smederevo vs Sloga 1940
2:0
Nov 13, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Sloga 1940 vs Smederevo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga 1940 35 / 100
Smederevo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloga 1940 Smederevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smederevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smederevo let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sloga 1940 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sloga 1940 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Smederevo
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloga 1940

(Home)
10 Jun
Real Podunavci
2 : 2
Sloga 1940
03 Jun
Sloga 1940
4 : 0
Tutin
27 May
Sloga Kraljevo
3 : 0
Sloga 1940
20 May
Sloga 1940
3 : 1
Buducnost Krusik
13 May
FAP
4 : 0
Sloga 1940
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Smederevo

(Away)
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
05 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 3
Javor
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1
Smederevo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Smederevo 30 24 5 1 62:17 77
2 Borac 1926 30 24 4 2 74:24 76
3 FAP 30 16 9 5 46:26 57
4 Sloga Pozega 30 13 9 8 36:24 48
5 Polet Ljubic 30 13 6 11 47:50 45
6 Tutin 30 12 5 13 29:37 41
7 Takovo 30 9 10 11 37:39 37
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 9 10 11 27:39 37
9 OFK Mihajlovac 30 8 10 12 26:39 34
10 Mladi Radnik 30 9 6 15 39:52 33
11 Real Podunavci 30 9 6 15 29:41 33
12 Macva Bogatic 30 8 8 14 39:45 32
13 Sloga Kraljevo 30 7 10 13 29:41 31
14 Sloga 1940 30 9 4 17 39:41 31
15 Radevac 30 7 9 14 28:39 30
16 Buducnost Arilje 30 5 5 20 24:57 20
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