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Sloga Mravince vs Neretva Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Sloga Mravince and Neretva finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sloga Mravince
20%
Draws
42%
Neretva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Neretva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sloga Mravince taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sloga Mravince Clean Sheet 16%
Neretva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloga Mravince Neretva
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 12 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Neretva
1:1
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretva vs Sloga Mravince
3:0
Apr 24, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretva vs Sloga Mravince
0:6
Oct 4, 2020 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Neretva
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Mravince 36 / 100
Neretva 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloga Mravince Neretva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloga Mravince scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Neretva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sloga Mravince stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sloga Mravince VS Neretva
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloga Mravince

(Home)
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
01 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Sloga Mravince
28 Jul
Omladinac Vranjic
0 : 5
Sloga Mravince
28 May
Zagora
3 : 3
Sloga Mravince
22 May
Sloga Mravince
1 : 2
Hrvace
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Neretva

(Away)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2
Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2
Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2
Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0
Kamen Podbablje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)