Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sloga Mravince vs Urania Baska Voda

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Urania Baska Voda in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urania Baska Voda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sloga Mravince
6%
Draws
4%
Urania Baska Voda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sloga Mravince

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sloga Mravince lately — more wins on the board than Urania Baska Voda.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sloga Mravince taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sloga Mravince have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sloga Mravince Clean Sheet 12%
Urania Baska Voda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloga Mravince Urania Baska Voda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 2
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Urania Baska Voda
0:3
Oct 10, 2021 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Sloga Mravince
0:3
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Sloga Mravince
1:4
Mar 14, 2021 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Urania Baska Voda
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Mravince 83 / 100
Urania Baska Voda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloga Mravince Urania Baska Voda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urania Baska Voda let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Sloga Mravince scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Sloga Mravince remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sloga Mravince VS Urania Baska Voda
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloga Mravince

(Home)
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
01 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Sloga Mravince
28 Jul
Omladinac Vranjic
0 : 5
Sloga Mravince
28 May
Zagora
3 : 3
Sloga Mravince
22 May
Sloga Mravince
1 : 2
Hrvace
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Urania Baska Voda

(Away)
25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4
Hajduk Split
28 May
Uskok Klis
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1
Primorac Biograd
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)