Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The 3. HNL East game between Sloga Nova Gradiska and Belisce finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sloga Nova Gradiska.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sloga Nova Gradiska
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sloga Nova Gradiska carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Sloga Nova Gradiska taking it.
- Regular 3. HNL East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Belisce have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sloga Nova Gradiska Clean Sheet 20%
Belisce Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sloga Nova Gradiska | Belisce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2022 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Belisce
2:1
Sep 4, 2021 3. HNL East
Belisce vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
3:2
May 22, 2021 3. HNL East
Belisce vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
2:0
Oct 24, 2020 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Belisce
0:1
May 3, 2003 Prva NL
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Belisce
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sloga Nova Gradiska 85 / 100
Belisce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sloga Nova Gradiska Belisce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Belisce let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Belisce's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Sloga Nova Gradiska scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Sloga Nova Gradiska VS Belisce
0 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sloga Nova Gradiska
(Home) 28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1 Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1 Oriolik
21 May
Marsonia
3 : 1 Sloga Nova Gradiska
14 May
Slavonac Bukovlje
5 : 3 Sloga Nova Gradiska
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4 Zrinski Osjecko
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28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1 Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1 Oriolik
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4 Zrinski Osjecko
30 Apr
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 3 NASK Nasice
20 Apr
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 0 Kutjevo
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Belisce
(Away) 09 Sept
Karlovac
5 : 0 Belisce
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0 Belisce
01 Jun
Dugo Selo
5 : 2 Belisce
25 May
Belisce
1 : 6 Kustosija
18 May
Jadran Porec
3 : 0 Belisce
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09 Sept
Karlovac
5 : 0 Belisce
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0 Belisce
01 Jun
Dugo Selo
5 : 2 Belisce
18 May
Jadran Porec
3 : 0 Belisce
03 May
Karlovac
2 : 0 Belisce
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vukovar 1991 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 80:20 | 82 |
| 2 | Zrinski Osjecko | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:33 | 78 |
| 3 | Belisce | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:28 | 75 |
| 4 | Marsonia | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 61:25 | 70 |
| 5 | Slavonija Pozega | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Croatia Dakovo | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 60:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Bedem Ivankovo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53:52 | 47 |
| 8 | Slavija Pleternica | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 57:68 | 45 |
| 9 | Kutjevo | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 59:62 | 43 |
| 10 | Granicar Zupanja | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 11 | Sloga Nova Gradiska | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 46:71 | 39 |
| 12 | Oriolik | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:71 | 38 |
| 13 | Cepin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 46:64 | 34 |
| 14 | Darda | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 44:71 | 32 |
| 15 | Vuteks Sloga | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 52:81 | 31 |
| 16 | NASK Nasice | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Omladinac Gornja Vrba | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 18 | Slavonac Bukovlje | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 36:77 | 25 |
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)
