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Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Darda

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska Logo

Sloga Nova Gradiska

2 - 2
FT
Darda Logo

Darda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL East game between Sloga Nova Gradiska and Darda finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sloga Nova Gradiska
15%
Draws
57%
Darda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Darda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sloga Nova Gradiska come out ahead of Darda on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. HNL East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sloga Nova Gradiska Clean Sheet 10%
Darda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sloga Nova Gradiska Darda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.3 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Darda
2:2
Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL East
Darda vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Nova Gradiska 30 / 100
Darda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sloga Nova Gradiska Darda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darda has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sloga Nova Gradiska scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Darda registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sloga Nova Gradiska VS Darda
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sloga Nova Gradiska

(Home)
28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1
Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1
Oriolik
21 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Sloga Nova Gradiska
14 May
Slavonac Bukovlje
5 : 3
Sloga Nova Gradiska
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4
Zrinski Osjecko
Page 1 of 6

Darda

(Away)
28 May
Granicar Zupanja
6 : 2
Darda
21 May
Darda
3 : 1
NASK Nasice
15 May
Bedem Ivankovo
3 : 0
Darda
07 May
Darda
1 : 4
Kutjevo
04 May
Vuteks Sloga
1 : 3
Darda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)