Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL East matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Marsonia at 1.31 per game, Sloga Nova Gradiska at 1.3.
- Marsonia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular 3. HNL East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sloga Nova Gradiska Clean Sheet 20%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sloga Nova Gradiska | Marsonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2022 3. HNL East
Marsonia vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
3:1
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Marsonia
0:0
Jun 2, 2021 3. HNL East
Marsonia vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
2:0
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Marsonia
1:1
Apr 26, 2003 Prva NL
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Marsonia
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sloga Nova Gradiska 28 / 100
Marsonia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sloga Nova Gradiska Marsonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marsonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marsonia has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Attacking prowess: Sloga Nova Gradiska scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Sloga Nova Gradiska has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Marsonia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sloga Nova Gradiska
(Home) 28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1 Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1 Oriolik
21 May
Marsonia
3 : 1 Sloga Nova Gradiska
14 May
Slavonac Bukovlje
5 : 3 Sloga Nova Gradiska
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4 Zrinski Osjecko
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28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1 Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1 Oriolik
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4 Zrinski Osjecko
30 Apr
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 3 NASK Nasice
20 Apr
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 0 Kutjevo
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Marsonia
(Away) 27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0 Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2 Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0 Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0 Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1 Bjelovar
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27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0 Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2 Marsonia
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0 Marsonia
02 May
Dragovoljac
5 : 1 Marsonia
19 Apr
Jadran Luka Ploce
4 : 1 Marsonia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vukovar 1991 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 80:20 | 82 |
| 2 | Zrinski Osjecko | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:33 | 78 |
| 3 | Belisce | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:28 | 75 |
| 4 | Marsonia | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 61:25 | 70 |
| 5 | Slavonija Pozega | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Croatia Dakovo | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 60:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Bedem Ivankovo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53:52 | 47 |
| 8 | Slavija Pleternica | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 57:68 | 45 |
| 9 | Kutjevo | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 59:62 | 43 |
| 10 | Granicar Zupanja | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 11 | Sloga Nova Gradiska | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 46:71 | 39 |
| 12 | Oriolik | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:71 | 38 |
| 13 | Cepin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 46:64 | 34 |
| 14 | Darda | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 44:71 | 32 |
| 15 | Vuteks Sloga | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 52:81 | 31 |
| 16 | NASK Nasice | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Omladinac Gornja Vrba | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 18 | Slavonac Bukovlje | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 36:77 | 25 |
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)
