Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The 3. HNL East game between Sloga Nova Gradiska and Oriolik finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sloga Nova Gradiska.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sloga Nova Gradiska
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sloga Nova Gradiska come out ahead of Oriolik on wins alone.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Sloga Nova Gradiska taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sloga Nova Gradiska have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sloga Nova Gradiska Clean Sheet 10%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sloga Nova Gradiska | Oriolik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2022 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Oriolik
3:1
Nov 27, 2021 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
0:1
Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Oriolik
2:1
Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sloga Nova Gradiska 83 / 100
Oriolik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sloga Nova Gradiska Oriolik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sloga Nova Gradiska Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oriolik let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Sloga Nova Gradiska scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Oriolik lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sloga Nova Gradiska VS Oriolik
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Sloga Nova Gradiska
(Home) 28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1 Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1 Oriolik
21 May
Marsonia
3 : 1 Sloga Nova Gradiska
14 May
Slavonac Bukovlje
5 : 3 Sloga Nova Gradiska
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4 Zrinski Osjecko
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1 Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1 Oriolik
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4 Zrinski Osjecko
30 Apr
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 3 NASK Nasice
20 Apr
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 0 Kutjevo
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Oriolik
(Away) 10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0 Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0 Oriolik
01 Nov
Oriolik
0 : 8 Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1 Oriolik
18 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
6 : 0 Oriolik
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10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0 Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0 Oriolik
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1 Oriolik
18 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
6 : 0 Oriolik
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1 Oriolik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vukovar 1991 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 80:20 | 82 |
| 2 | Zrinski Osjecko | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:33 | 78 |
| 3 | Belisce | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:28 | 75 |
| 4 | Marsonia | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 61:25 | 70 |
| 5 | Slavonija Pozega | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Croatia Dakovo | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 60:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Bedem Ivankovo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 53:52 | 47 |
| 8 | Slavija Pleternica | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 57:68 | 45 |
| 9 | Kutjevo | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 59:62 | 43 |
| 10 | Granicar Zupanja | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 11 | Sloga Nova Gradiska | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 46:71 | 39 |
| 12 | Oriolik | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:71 | 38 |
| 13 | Cepin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 46:64 | 34 |
| 14 | Darda | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 44:71 | 32 |
| 15 | Vuteks Sloga | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 52:81 | 31 |
| 16 | NASK Nasice | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Omladinac Gornja Vrba | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 18 | Slavonac Bukovlje | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 36:77 | 25 |
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)
