Sport Picks

North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026

Sloga Vinica

3 - 3

Vardar Negotino

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Sloga Vinica and Vardar Negotino finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Sloga Vinica

17%

Draws

13%

Vardar Negotino

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sloga Vinica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Vardar Negotino carry the better recent record into this one.
Sloga Vinica are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Sloga Vinica Clean Sheet 10%

Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sloga Vinica	Vardar Negotino
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	4	5
Draws	3	4
Losses	22	20
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	3.13	3.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 2. MFL

Sloga Vinica vs Vardar Negotino

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

3:3

Nov 1, 2025 2. MFL

Vardar Negotino vs Sloga Vinica

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly

Vardar Negotino vs Sloga Vinica

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly

Vardar Negotino vs Sloga Vinica

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly

Sloga Vinica vs Vardar Negotino

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sloga Vinica 65 / 100

Vardar Negotino 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sloga Vinica Vardar Negotino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vardar Negotino conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Vardar Negotino registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sloga Vinica scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sloga Vinica VS Vardar Negotino

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

3.13 Goals Conceded 3.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bregalnica Stip	30	22	5	3	72:17	71
2	FK Skopje	30	23	2	5	72:20	71
3	Shkendija Haracine	30	21	6	3	67:19	69
4	Ohrid	30	21	5	4	78:17	68
5	Belasica Strumica	30	18	4	8	57:21	58
6	Osogovo	30	16	6	8	53:27	54
7	Novaci	30	15	6	9	47:31	51
8	Detonit Plackovica	30	14	7	9	52:28	49
9	Kozuf Gevgelija	30	12	9	9	50:26	45
10	Teteks	30	13	3	14	56:44	42
11	Kamenica Sasa	30	9	9	12	47:53	36
12	Vardar Negotino	30	6	4	20	37:95	22
13	Sloga Vinica	30	4	3	23	31:84	15
14	Prespa	30	5	0	25	30:76	15
15	Pobeda	30	3	2	25	19:117	11
16	Golemo Konjari	30	2	1	27	17:110	7