Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slough Town vs Ebbsfleet

England England

National League South Arbour Park, Slough
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Ogunleye D.
82' Event
Quansah K.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Slough Town and Ebbsfleet finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Slough Town
35%
Draws
45%
Ebbsfleet
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Ebbsfleet taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Slough Town Clean Sheet 10%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slough Town Ebbsfleet
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 National League South
Slough Town vs Ebbsfleet
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Slough Town
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 National League South
Slough Town vs Ebbsfleet
2:0
Oct 17, 2023 FA Cup
Slough Town vs Ebbsfleet
2:0
Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup
Ebbsfleet vs Slough Town
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slough Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Quansah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ebbsfleet Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogunleye D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slough Town 10 / 100
Ebbsfleet 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slough Town Ebbsfleet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slough Town's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ebbsfleet let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Slough Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slough Town VS Ebbsfleet
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Slough Town

(Home)
29 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 1
Ebbsfleet
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1
Slough Town
08 Sept
Salisbury
5 : 1
Slough Town
Page 1 of 6

Ebbsfleet

(Away)
29 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 1
Ebbsfleet
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Ebbsfleet
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Salisbury
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
6 Truro 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
7 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
9 Farnham 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Folkestone 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
15 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
16 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
18 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
19 Braintree 9 3 1 5 16:22 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Ebbsfleet 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
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