Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovakia U17 vs Serbia U17

World World

Friendly International 2024 NTC Senec
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Slovakia U17 play Serbia U17 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Slovakia U17 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Serbia U17 averaged 1.96 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Slovakia U17 won 1, Serbia U17 won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 26, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Slovakia U17 and 1.56 for Serbia U17. This points to a Serbia U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Slovakia U17
15%
Draws
53%
Serbia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serbia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Slovakia U17 picked up more points recently compared to Serbia U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Slovakia U17 Clean Sheet 15%
Serbia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovakia U17 Serbia U17
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2024 Friendly International
Slovakia U17 vs Serbia U17
1:2
Sep 24, 2024 Friendly International
Slovakia U17 vs Serbia U17
2:0
Sep 28, 2023 Friendly International
Serbia U17 vs Slovakia U17
3:2
Sep 26, 2023 Friendly International
Serbia U17 vs Slovakia U17
5:0
Mar 26, 2019 Euro U17
Slovakia U17 vs Serbia U17
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovakia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajnoha A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pecsuk D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Serbia U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia U17 32 / 100
Serbia U17 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovakia U17 Serbia U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Serbia U17 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Slovakia U17 attacking → ← attacking Serbia U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia U17 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Serbia U17 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Slovakia U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Serbia U17 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 52
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38