Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovakia W vs Wales W

Europe Europe

Euro Women NTC Poprad, Poprad
Slovakia W Logo

Slovakia W

2 - 1
FT
Wales W Logo

Wales W

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Mikolajova M.
46'
Sub
Estcourt C. In: Griffiths A.
Out: Estcourt C.
49' Event
Surnovska M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Slovakia W
15%
Draws
69%
Wales W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wales W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slovakia W lately — more wins on the board than Wales W.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Wales W taking it.
  • Slovakia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Slovakia W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Slovakia W Clean Sheet 10%
Wales W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovakia W Wales W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 Euro Women
Wales W vs Slovakia W
2:0
Oct 25, 2024 Euro Women
Slovakia W vs Wales W
2:1
Apr 8, 2015 Friendly International Women
Wales W vs Slovakia W
1:2
Apr 6, 2015 Friendly International Women
Wales W vs Slovakia W
1:0
Jun 19, 2013 Friendly International Women
Slovakia W vs Wales W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovakia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Surnovska M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikolajova M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Wales W Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovakia W 10 / 100
Wales W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovakia W Wales W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Wales W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Slovakia W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slovakia W VS Wales W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovakia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
Page 1 of 6

Wales W

(Away)
09 Jun
Wales W
3 : 1
Czech Republic W
05 Jun
Montenegro W
1 : 1
Wales W
18 Apr
Albania W
0 : 1
Wales W
14 Apr
Wales W
4 : 0
Albania W
07 Mar
Wales W
6 : 1
Montenegro W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Azerbaijan W 1
Portugal W 8
Belarus W 1
Czech Republic W 8
Hungary W 0
Scotland W 5
Montenegro W 0
Finland W 6
Turkey W 1
Ukraine W 3
Greece W 0
Belgium W 5
Slovakia W 2
Wales W 3
Georgia W 0
Ireland W 9
Romania W 2
Poland W 6
Slovenia W 1
Austria W 5
Croatia W 1
Northern Ireland W 2
Albania W 0
Norway W 14
Bosnia & Herzegovina W 3
Serbia W 6
Luxembourg W 0
Sweden W 12
Final
Portugal W 3
Czech Republic W 2
Scotland W 0
Finland W 2
Ukraine W 1
Belgium W 4
Wales W 3
Ireland W 2
Poland W 2
Austria W 0
Northern Ireland W 0
Norway W 7
Serbia W 0
Sweden W 8