Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kondic I.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Kondic I.
72' Event
Sitar M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Slovan Ljubljana in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovan Ljubljana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Slovan Ljubljana
30%
Draws
34%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slovan Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slovan Ljubljana lately — more wins on the board than Ilirija.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Slovan Ljubljana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Slovan Ljubljana Clean Sheet 10%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovan Ljubljana Ilirija
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Slovan Ljubljana
1:2
May 3, 2025 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Slovan Ljubljana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovan Ljubljana Compare

Top Goalscorer Kondic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ilirija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovan Ljubljana 34 / 100
Ilirija 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovan Ljubljana Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Slovan Ljubljana found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Slovan Ljubljana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Slovan Ljubljana VS Ilirija
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovan Ljubljana

(Home)
23 May
Bistrica
1 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
17 May
Slovan Ljubljana
5 : 1
Tabor Sezana
10 May
Jadran Dekani
5 : 1
Slovan Ljubljana
07 May
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
Jesenice
30 Apr
Krsko Posavje
1 : 1
Slovan Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

Ilirija

(Away)
22 May
Ilirija
1 : 3
Beltinci
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
30 Apr
Ilirija
0 : 2
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)