Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovenia vs Austria

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sesko B.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Laimer K.
Assist: Mwene P.
35'
Sabitzer M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Slovenia
30%
Draws
41%
Austria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Austria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Austria lately — more wins on the board than Slovenia.
  • Win probability leans Slovenia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 11%
Austria Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Slovenia Austria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 13 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.03 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Austria vs Slovenia
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Austria
1:1
Oct 13, 2019 Euro
Slovenia vs Austria
0:1
Jun 7, 2019 Euro
Austria vs Slovenia
1:0
Mar 23, 2018 Friendly International
Austria vs Slovenia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Slovenia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Laimer K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Slovenia 35 / 100
Austria 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Slovenia Austria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovenia's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Austria let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Slovenia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Slovenia VS Austria
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Slovenia

(Home)
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
31 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 3
Slovenia
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
18 Nov
Sweden
1 : 1
Slovenia
Page 1 of 6

Austria

(Away)
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
22 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Austria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
2 Ukraine 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Georgia 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Albania 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Greece 6 5 0 1 11:4 15
3 Ireland 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Finland 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Austria 6 3 2 1 14:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Kazakhstan 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Turkey 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
4 Montenegro 6 1 0 5 4:9 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)