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Smari vs Grindavik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Hauksson V.
56' Event
Hallsson S.
65' Event
Thasaphong S.

AI Match Summary

Grindavik in this Icelandic Cup 2021 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Smari
20%
Draws
46%
Grindavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grindavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Grindavik have won more games recently than Smari.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Grindavik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Grindavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Smari Clean Sheet 20%
Grindavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smari Grindavik
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 12
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2021 Icelandic Cup
Smari vs Grindavik
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smari Compare

Top Goalscorer Scheving O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Grindavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Thasaphong S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hauksson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smari 32 / 100
Grindavik 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smari Grindavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smari scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Grindavik conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Smari stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grindavik
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smari

(Home)
28 Mar
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0
Smari
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2
Skallagrimur
09 Apr
Olafsvik
5 : 1
Smari
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0
Falkar
05 Apr
Smari
2 : 3
Arbaer
Page 1 of 2

Grindavik

(Away)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
29 Aug
Grindavik
4 : 3
Kopavogur
22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1
Grindavik
17 Aug
Grindavik
0 : 0
Grotta
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1
Throttur
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 0
Augnablik 12
Aegir 4
IBU 0
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Bjorninn 0
KA Asvellir 3
KFG Gardabaer 0
Alftanes 2
Ellidi 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Selfoss 0
Kordrengir 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Reynir 1
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lettir 1
Vidir 2
Fram 8
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 2
GG Grindavik 1
Njardvik 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
Throttur Vogar 3
TBD -
Grotta -
Berserkir 5
KFS 6
Kria 13
Afrika Reykjavik 1
KB Breidholt 1
Throttur 6
Olafsvik 18
Gullfalkinn 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Afturelding 2
SR Reykjavik 1
RB Keflavik 0
Hamar 0
Vestri 3
Ymir 1
KFR 2
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Magni -
Smari 1
Grindavik 4
Hviti 4
Arborg 1
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Tindastoll 0
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Hamrarnir 3
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 7
Einherji 1
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Ulfarnir 2
Isbjorninn 0
Dalvik/Reynir 7
Samherjar 1
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
KFB 0
Stokkseyri 5
KM Reykjavik 0
Haukar 4
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
Kari -
Vaengirs -
Snaefell 1
Skallagrimur 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Augnablik 4
Aegir 0
Fjolnir 7
KA Asvellir 1
Alftanes 0
IR Reykjavik 2
Kordrengir 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Akranes -
TBD -
Vidir 0
Fram 2
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
Njardvik 5
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 1
Grotta 3
KFS 4
Kria 0
Throttur 1
Olafsvik 3
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Afturelding 8
SR Reykjavik 0
Vestri 1
KFR 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Magni 0
Grindavik 3
Hviti 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Volsungur 9
Hamrarnir 1
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir -
TBD -
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Ulfarnir 3
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 3
Stokkseyri 0
Haukar 7
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 2
Kari 5
Skallagrimur 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/16-finals
Augnablik 1
Fjolnir 4
IR Reykjavik 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Akranes 3
Fram 0
Hafnarfjordur 4
Njardvik 1
Kopavogur 2
Grotta 1
KFS 4
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 2
Afturelding 1
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Valur 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Fylkir 7
Ulfarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 1
Haukar 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Sindri 0
Kari 1
KR Reykjavik 2
1/8-finals
Fjolnir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Akranes 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Kopavogur 7
KFS 1
Keflavik 3
KA Akureyri 1
Vestri 4
Thor Akureyri 0
Valur 6
Volsungur 0
Fylkir 2
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
IR Reykjavik 1
Akranes 3
Kopavogur 3
Keflavik 5
Vestri 2
Valur 1
Fylkir 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Semi-finals
Akranes 2
Keflavik 0
Vestri 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Final
Akranes 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3