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Smarje vs Zrece

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2017/2018
Smarje Logo

Smarje

2 - 1
FT
Zrece Logo

Zrece

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 game between Smarje and Zrece finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smarje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Smarje
15%
Draws
42%
Zrece
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smarje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zrece come out ahead of Smarje on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zrece's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Smarje Clean Sheet 10%
Zrece Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smarje Zrece
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 23
Goals Scored 1.09 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.85 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2022 3. SNL - East
Zrece vs Smarje
7:3
Oct 9, 2021 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Zrece
1:0
Oct 3, 2020 3. SNL - East
Zrece vs Smarje
2:0
May 26, 2018 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Zrece
2:1
Nov 11, 2017 3. SNL - North
Zrece vs Smarje
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smarje 10 / 100
Zrece 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smarje Zrece

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zrece Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zrece's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Smarje's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Zrece's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Smarje VS Zrece
1 Goals Scored 1.38
4.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Smarje

(Home)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
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Zrece

(Away)
02 Nov
Zrece
0 : 2
Rudar
28 May
Zrece
3 : 2
Korotan Prevalje
22 May
SD Videm
4 : 2
Zrece
15 May
Zrece
0 : 1
Cirkulane
07 May
Dobrovce
4 : 1
Zrece
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dravograd 26 18 7 1 66:18 61
2 Sampion Celje 26 17 8 1 60:19 59
3 Dravinja 26 13 7 6 49:27 46
4 Pesnica 26 13 6 7 39:30 45
5 Bistrica 26 11 8 7 40:32 41
6 Zrece 26 12 4 10 58:37 40
7 SD Videm 26 10 5 11 38:43 35
8 Pohorje 26 10 5 11 41:50 35
9 Mons Claudius 26 7 10 9 32:43 31
10 Dobrovce 26 8 4 14 36:45 28
11 Sentjur 26 7 3 16 34:65 24
12 Korotan Prevalje 26 7 2 17 35:43 23
13 Lenart 26 7 2 17 30:64 23
14 Smarje 26 6 1 19 26:68 19
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)