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Smedby vs BK Ljungsbro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Cakar S.
22' Event
Malm M.
38' Event
Rann D.

AI Match Summary

Smedby in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smedby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Smedby
30%
Draws
23%
BK Ljungsbro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Smedby lately — more wins on the board than BK Ljungsbro.
  • Smedby are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Smedby Clean Sheet 16%
BK Ljungsbro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby BK Ljungsbro
Matches Played 38 26
Wins 18 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.05 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
BK Ljungsbro vs Smedby
0:3
Jun 25, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs BK Ljungsbro
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Cakar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malm M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

BK Ljungsbro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindsten N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 57 / 100
BK Ljungsbro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby BK Ljungsbro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smedby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smedby found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (38 games).

BK Ljungsbro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

BK Ljungsbro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Smedby

(Home)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
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BK Ljungsbro

(Away)
20 Oct
Arameisk-Syrianska
5 : 3
BK Ljungsbro
13 Oct
BK Ljungsbro
0 : 3
Smedby
05 Oct
Enskede
4 : 2
BK Ljungsbro
28 Sept
BK Ljungsbro
1 : 3
Atvidaberg
22 Sept
Huddinge
1 : 1
BK Ljungsbro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haninge 26 21 3 2 86:33 66
2 Sylvia 26 15 6 5 51:28 51
3 Arameisk-Syrianska 26 14 4 8 52:39 46
4 Nykopings 26 13 6 7 52:42 45
5 Atvidaberg 26 12 4 10 47:41 40
6 Syrianska 26 11 7 8 42:41 40
7 Huddinge 26 10 4 12 39:33 34
8 Sleipner 26 9 7 10 40:48 34
9 Enskede 26 10 3 13 38:41 33
10 Nacka FC 26 9 5 12 41:45 32
11 Smedby 26 8 5 13 38:43 29
12 IFK Eskilstuna 26 6 7 13 44:61 25
13 BK Ljungsbro 26 5 7 14 35:59 22
14 Mjolby AI FF 26 4 2 20 33:84 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024 (Relegation)