Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smedby vs BK Ljungsbro

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Cakar S.
22' Event
Malm M.
38' Event
Rann D.

AI Match Summary

Smedby in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smedby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Smedby
6%
Draws
4%
BK Ljungsbro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Smedby lately — more wins on the board than BK Ljungsbro.
  • Smedby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Smedby Clean Sheet 14%
BK Ljungsbro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby BK Ljungsbro
Matches Played 37 26
Wins 17 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 3 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
BK Ljungsbro vs Smedby
0:3
Jun 25, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs BK Ljungsbro
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Cakar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malm M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

BK Ljungsbro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindsten N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 84 / 100
BK Ljungsbro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby BK Ljungsbro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smedby found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (37 games).

BK Ljungsbro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

BK Ljungsbro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haninge26213286:3366
2Sylvia26156551:2851
3Arameisk-Syrianska26144852:3946
4Nykopings26136752:4245
5Atvidaberg261241047:4140
6Syrianska26117842:4140
7Huddinge261041239:3334
8Sleipner26971040:4834
9Enskede261031338:4133
10Nacka FC26951241:4532
11Smedby26851338:4329
12IFK Eskilstuna26671344:6125
13BK Ljungsbro26571435:5922
14Mjolby AI FF26422033:8414