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Smedby vs Ragsved

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
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Match Events

32' Event
Touray O.
65' Event
Manga B.

AI Match Summary

Ragsved in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ragsved.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Smedby
39%
Draws
31%
Ragsved
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ragsved average 2.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Smedby's 1.88.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ragsved have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%
Ragsved Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Ragsved
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Ragsved
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Ragsved
1:2
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Ragsved vs Smedby
4:1
Sep 9, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Ragsved vs Smedby
2:1
May 13, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Ragsved
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ragsved Compare

Top Goalscorer Touray O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manga B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 29 / 100
Ragsved 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Ragsved

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smedby scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Ragsved let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Smedby stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS Ragsved
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337