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Smedby vs Ragsved - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
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Match Events

32' Event
Touray O.
65' Event
Manga B.

AI Match Summary

Ragsved in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ragsved.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Smedby
30%
Draws
58%
Ragsved
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ragsved

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Smedby have won more games recently than Ragsved.
  • Win probability leans Ragsved's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ragsved have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Smedby Clean Sheet 19%
Ragsved Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Ragsved
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Ragsved
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Ragsved
1:2
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Ragsved vs Smedby
4:1
Sep 9, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Ragsved vs Smedby
2:1
May 13, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Ragsved
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ragsved Compare

Top Goalscorer Touray O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manga B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 16 / 100
Ragsved 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Ragsved

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ragsved Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smedby scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Ragsved has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Smedby stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS Ragsved
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Smedby

(Home)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
Page 1 of 6

Ragsved

(Away)
03 Oct
Eker Orebro
1 : 3
Ragsved
26 Sept
Ragsved
2 : 2
Orebro Syrianska
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Lindo FF
1 : 2
Ragsved
04 Sept
Ragsved
2 : 1
Haninge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)