Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smederevo vs Javor

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga Stadion FK Smederevo, Smederevo
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mirosavljev M.
16' Event
Radonjic A.
49' Event
Radonjic A.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Smederevo and Javor finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Javor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Smederevo
30%
Draws
43%
Javor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Javor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Javor haven't matched Smederevo's recent run of results.
  • Javor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Javor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 11%
Javor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo Javor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.66 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Javor
1:3
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Javor vs Smederevo
2:0
Mar 3, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Javor
0:0
Oct 2, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Javor vs Smederevo
2:0
Mar 2, 2013 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Javor vs Smederevo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smederevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadzic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Javor Compare

Top Goalscorer Radonjic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mirosavljev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 10 / 100
Javor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo Javor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Javor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smederevo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Javor let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Smederevo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS Javor
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Smederevo

(Home)
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
05 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 3
Javor
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1
Smederevo
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Javor

(Away)
21 Sept
Javor
4 : 2
Proleter 023
17 Sept
Loznica
2 : 2
Javor
12 Sept
Javor
1 : 1
FK Vozdovac
05 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 3
Javor
30 Aug
Javor
3 : 0
Napredak
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 10 8 0 2 18:11 24
2 Vrsac 10 7 0 3 16:10 21
3 TSC Backa Topola 10 5 5 0 18:10 20
4 Javor 10 5 4 1 25:12 19
5 Smederevo 10 5 3 2 19:13 18
6 Spartak Subotica 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
7 Metalac 10 4 2 4 14:12 14
8 FK Vozdovac 10 4 2 4 11:10 14
9 Dubocica 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
10 Napredak 10 4 1 5 10:15 13
11 Loznica 10 2 6 2 14:16 12
12 OFK Bor 1919 10 2 2 6 7:17 8
13 Proleter 023 10 1 4 5 10:15 7
14 Jedinstvo Ub 10 2 1 7 11:18 7
15 Graficar Beograd 10 2 1 7 11:18 7
16 Teleoptik 10 1 4 5 11:19 7
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)