Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smederevo vs Kabel Novi Sad

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Stadion FK Smederevo
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Jevtic U.
30'
Mitrovic J.
46'
Sub
Glavinic D. In: Petrovic L.
Out: Glavinic D.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 game between Smederevo and Kabel Novi Sad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smederevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Smederevo
33%
Draws
27%
Kabel Novi Sad
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Smederevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Smederevo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Smederevo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 14%
Kabel Novi Sad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo Kabel Novi Sad
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Kabel Novi Sad
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Kabel Novi Sad
3:0
Sep 24, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Kabel Novi Sad vs Smederevo
1:3
Jun 13, 2020 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Kabel Novi Sad vs Smederevo
0:1
Oct 14, 2019 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Kabel Novi Sad
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smederevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kabel Novi Sad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 39 / 100
Kabel Novi Sad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo Kabel Novi Sad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabel Novi Sad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Smederevo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Kabel Novi Sad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS Kabel Novi Sad
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%