Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smederevo vs Karadjordje Topola

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smederevo in this Srpska Liga - West 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smederevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Smederevo
6%
Draws
4%
Karadjordje Topola
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Smederevo have won more games recently than Karadjordje Topola.
  • Smederevo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 20%
Karadjordje Topola Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo Karadjordje Topola
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Smederevo vs Karadjordje Topola
7:1
Sep 16, 2017 Srpska Liga - West
Karadjordje Topola vs Smederevo
1:0
May 17, 2017 Srpska Liga - West
Karadjordje Topola vs Smederevo
0:1
Oct 29, 2016 Srpska Liga - West
Smederevo vs Karadjordje Topola
2:0
Apr 2, 2016 Srpska Liga - West
Karadjordje Topola vs Smederevo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 85 / 100
Karadjordje Topola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo Karadjordje Topola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karadjordje Topola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Smederevo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Karadjordje Topola lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Smederevo

(Home)
19 Jul
Smederevo
4 : 2
Mladost DG
15 Jul
Javor
2 : 0
Smederevo
29 May
Trayal Krusevac
1 : 5
Smederevo
24 May
Smederevo
1 : 0
Kabel Novi Sad
17 May
Dubocica
1 : 2
Smederevo
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Karadjordje Topola

(Away)
13 Jun
Karadjordje Topola
0 : 2
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
10 Jun
Jedinstvo Putevi
2 : 2
Karadjordje Topola
02 Jun
Karadjordje Topola
1 : 0
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
30 May
Sloga Pozega
4 : 0
Karadjordje Topola
26 May
Karadjordje Topola
0 : 3
Buducnost Krusik
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